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What type of weapon can be developed in secret?

16 Dec 2025
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1 min read

Let's look at the subject from another angle... What kind of weapon can be developed with complete secrecy as we are told? All weapons, in the end, result from certain technology, and this technology is known and specific, unless you claim you have invented entirely new technology (which is practically impossible in Egypt, and we all know that). But assuming this has actually happened, the logical question would become: Where are the applications of this technology in your other industries?

For example, let's say you developed a new type of artificial intelligence to use in your secret weapon. Where are the civil companies that benefited from this technology?

And another question: Do you know how many Turkish companies are involved in the "HURJET" aircraft project alongside foreign companies? About 350 companies, and the names of all these companies are available and accessible; you can even see all the employees in those companies through "LinkedIn". Imagine that anyone in the world can recognize about 80% of the employees in a defense project of this size. By the way, I'm working on a research paper about that aircraft with a professor from the Czech Republic, and due to the abundance of information from open sources, I contacted the Turks before I completed my work because I feared I might have made a mistake, and the reply was: No problem, continue..

So, where are your small and medium-sized companies that provide services or products to the companies implementing the main project? Where are their contracts and products? These companies, of course, cannot survive unless they have other clients besides you. Logically and administratively, that is impossible. Are there any information or data about the sales of these companies for other projects?

Well, what kind of weapon are you developing? Let's say for example missiles? Are there missiles in the world that are not tested practically? Even if the capabilities of the missile are unknown, the fact of tests will emerge, as any launch experiment is monitored, and any object flying in the air can be tracked. Has anyone heard news about tests of this kind?

Let's assume you are working on developing a missile system; every missile in the world needs testing sites, launch platforms, and flight paths that are notified for air navigation (NOTAM), reaching altitudes and directions that can be detected by radars, air defenses, and satellites..

Today, there are early warning satellite networks like the SBIRS system, specifically designed to detect the heat of any missile launch within seconds, sending early warnings not only to the Americans but to their allies as well..

To be accurate with the information, in 2022 and then in 2024, there were reports in Israeli sites specialized in military affairs like Nziv and JewishPress, which relied on commercial satellite images, discussing fortified facilities inside the Sinai mountains suspected to be sites for launching or preparing medium or long-range ballistic missiles. However, all the analyses of that information did not talk about developing new capabilities or technologies, but indicated the existence of these missiles in the Egyptian arsenal previously. I will address this point in greater detail later..

Now let's assume it's not missiles, but instead an aircraft or a fighter project (if this actually happens, it would mean you are the strongest country in the world without dispute, and the first country to produce a fighter independently). Look at the Turkish fighter project KAAN, where its first flight was in February 2024, with the video officially broadcast to the whole world. Turkey also signed an export contract for 48 aircraft with Indonesia, with the announcement being official and attended by heads of states..

The Turkish program is built on a broader system that includes thousands of Turkish defense companies that have become part of global supply chains. International and media reports indicate that more than 2000 companies operate in the Turkish defense sector, in fields such as electronics, radars, engines, software, and control systems. These companies do not survive on a single secret contract with the state and take an oath of silence, but instead announce their products, participate in exhibitions, export abroad, employ thousands of engineers, receive funding from banks, and are subject to reports and stock markets that monitor their performance. Do we see such a case in our country?

The idea of creating a complex armament program - whether it be a fighter, an air defense system, or even an advanced drone - without any trace of supplier chains, or news about tests, or satellite images, or export contracts, or research reports addressing it, is not a brilliant secrecy; it most likely means there is no program at all, or that it is still just an idea on paper or a "PowerPoint" presentation..

Let's use our brains a little, as we are in 2026, and public access satellites are available to everyone, let alone military ones? And research centers continuously monitor "Google" images, tracking data on international trade and arms reports. It has become impossible for a country with a fragile economy and industry (and this is the president's own description, lest we be accused of diminishing our country) to claim to possess a super secret weapon that nobody in the world knows about..

And before you accuse those who say this of undermining their country, please review the words of the head of state himself, when he clearly said: "We do not have adequate education, nor good health, nor capacity for treatment, we are a quasi-state." The president spoke frankly, which should be commended. So why are we then accused of treason when we speak with the same frankness, even if we present documented facts and announced figures?

This is an AI-generated English translation. The original text is in العربية

Moamen Ashraf

PhD Researcher in Defense Contracting and Cooperation Policies